MANIFOLD
When will Cruise relaunch driverless operations in at least one city open to the public?
6
Ṁ675Ṁ7k
resolved Mar 25
100%94%
2025/later/never
0.2%
November 2023
0.2%
December 2023
0.3%
January 2024
0.3%
February 2024
0.3%
March 2024
0.5%
April 2024
0.5%
May 2024
0.5%
June 2024
0.5%
July 2024
0.5%
August 2024
0.5%
September 2024
0.6%
October 2024
0.7%
November 2024
0.7%
December 2024

Market context
Self-Driving Vehicles
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This can resolve (2025/later/never)

@mods

imo a better way to design the options for a market like this is with "by date X or later", i.e., a cumulative distribution function rather than a pdf. Then you don't need a "later/never", and you can add additional months if things are taking longer than expected

bought Ṁ1 NO

Is it possible to resolve the past options?

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