Tesla will begin offering a truly driverless taxi service to the general public in at least one city in 2026
9
Ṁ1kṀ9682027
73%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026
It will resolve according to the judgement of the authors. If they don't publish a retrospective by the end of February, it will resolve according to my judgement.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?
34% chance
In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US?
When will a Tesla Robovan offer its first public, autonomous ride?
1/6/30
Will a major city in Europe have a generally available self-driving taxi or rideshare service by 2026?
49% chance
Will Tesla offer a Robo-Taxi service in California by the end of 2026?
20% chance
Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026
70% chance
Will there be self driving taxis in London, UK by the end of 2026?
71% chance
Tesla based Uber-like service is available in the US for at least some normal Tesla owners before 2030
86% chance
The first fully autonomous vehicle will be sold to consumers in 2026 — but it won’t be from Tesla
37% chance
Will Tesla have a operational Robotaxi that they are announcing on 8/8 operation in the US, by the end of 2026?
90% chance