Will Iran be a democracy in 2030?
42
Ṁ1kṀ1.8k2029
28%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As classified by their polity score https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polity_data_series#Scores_for_2018
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?
29% chance
Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?
32% chance
Will Iran cease to exist in 2026?
4% chance
Will Iran sink a US Navy ship before 2030?
25% chance
Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?
71% chance
Will Iran's regime fall before end of 2027?
35% chance
Civil War in Iran in 2026?
27% chance
Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?
59% chance
Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2025?
75% chance
State of Iran in 2030