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MANIFOLD
Does Netanyahu lead the next government after the Israeli General Election?
35
Ṁ100Ṁ1.5k
resolved Nov 7
Resolved
NO
13

Will Netanyahu be chosen as Prime Minister and be able to form the next government after the Israeli General Election scheduled for October 27th?

If he is not chosen as PM or fails to form a government after being chosen, this market will resolve to "no". Of both conditions are met, this market will resolve to "yes"

  • Update 2026-11-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator is about to resolve the market as No.

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Resolving as "No" since Herzog has announced that Eisenkot will receive the mandate.

@PMattW Doesn't seem it's certain that Eisenkot will succeed in forming a government, so isn't this resolved prematurely?

See https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election; still gives Netanyahu a chance

@PMattW receiving the mandate is not forming a government. It is too early to call.

I've extended the market to give time for coalition negotiations and a leader to appear.

If a new Elction is called, this market will resolve No, as this was the "next" election specified by the market.

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