If AI doesn't wipe out humanity, it may lead to dystopian futures including: Disempowerment of humans Totalitarianism through massive surveillance Social manipulation Related: AI wipes out humanity (https://manifold.markets/embed/JamesDillard/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-before-th)

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 27% chance (12 traders, as of Aug 29, 2024).

Will AI lead to a dystopia future by 2100 (totalitarianism, disempowerment)?

MANIFOLD

Will AI lead to a dystopia future by 2100 (totalitarianism, disempowerment)?

Ṁ1kṀ246

2222

27%

chance

ALL

If AI doesn't wipe out humanity, it may lead to dystopian futures including:

Disempowerment of humans
Totalitarianism through massive surveillance
Social manipulation

Related: AI wipes out humanity

Technical AI Timelines

Futurism

AI Alignment

Technical AI Safety

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

bought Ṁ8 YES

Even the good outcomes look like this. Why is this so low. Do people just think AI will paperclip everyone?

I feel like this is more likely than them killing us all. If you look back at human history, there's a lot more brutal colonization and enslavement than there is complete extermination.

People are also trading

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2900?

+5% 1d29% chance

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

5% chance

Will AI cause a global catastrophe killing at least 10% of humans before 2100?

30% chance

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 3100?

+9% 1d33% chance

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 3200?

+8% 1d32% chance

Will AI take over the world by 2100?

45% chance

Will AI create utopia for humans by the year 2100?

61% chance

Will AI cause human extinction before 2100 (and how)?

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

32% chance

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

6% chance

People are also trading

Related questions