Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030? | Manifold

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

38

1kṀ4662

2030

3%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This is an intentional duplicate of https://manifold.markets/MartinRandall/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-before-th-d8733b2114a8 . It should resolve the same in all states of the world. In other words, any price discrepancy is intended to be an arbitrage opportunity. It is meant to highlight the absurdity of the position, and make whatever AI risk messaging is happening more expensive.

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

20% chance. If humanity is still around on Jan 1, 2030, then this market resolves to NO. If humanity is not around but AI(s) are then this market resolves to YES. If neither humanity nor AIs are around then this market does not resolve. See also: @/Tripping/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-before-th-6d…

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?

Will AI wipe out "humanity" before 2030?

Will AI wipe humanity by 2030?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 3100?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 3200?

Will AI out-wipe humanity by 2030?

Will humanity wipe out AI before the year 2030?

Will humanity wipe out AI before the year 2030?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 3000?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2900?

Related questions

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?

Will AI wipe out "humanity" before 2030?

Will AI wipe humanity by 2030?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 3100?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 3200?

Will AI out-wipe humanity by 2030?

Will humanity wipe out AI before the year 2030?

Will humanity wipe out AI before the year 2030?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 3000?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2900?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy