When will Starship first launch or land on Earth with human passengers?
48
แน1.5kแน9.8k2030
1%
Before 2027
3%
Before 2028
16%
Before 2029
29%
Before 2030
42%
Before 2031
53%
Before 2032
60%
Before 2033
Resolved
NOIn 2024
Resolved
NOIn 2025 or earlier
The market will resolve positively as soon as SpaceX Starship spacecraft launches from or lands on the Earth with human astronauts on board. At least one passenger has to survive the maneuver.
I do not bet on my own markets.
Similar question about humans on board at any time in the flight:
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-fly-in-space-wit
Related questions:
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This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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