Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the newly elected pope officially resides in the Apostolic Palace within 90 days of his election. The market will resolve to "No" if, within that period, the pope chooses an alternative primary residence. Official Vatican announcements or credible news sources will serve as the basis for resolution.

Background:

The Apostolic Palace, also known as the Papal Palace, is the traditional official residence of the pope in Vatican City. Historically, popes have resided in the papal apartments located on the third floor of this palace. However, Pope Francis, elected in 2013, broke with this tradition by choosing to live in the Domus Sanctae Marthae, a guesthouse within Vatican City, citing a preference for a simpler lifestyle and community living. (bbc.com) Additionally, Pope Francis opened the traditional papal summer residence at Castel Gandolfo to the public, opting not to use it himself. (wantedinrome.com) These decisions reflect a shift towards more modest living arrangements for the papacy.

• Update 2025-07-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For a Yes resolution, the pope must be physically residing in the Apostolic Palace on or before the 90th day following his election. An official plan or intention to move in is not sufficient if the pope is not physically living there by the deadline.