Will the next Pope reign for at least 1 year?
19
100Ṁ8432026
96%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Depending on who the next Pope is, will he be based?
How long will Pope Leo XIV reign?
Will the next Pope last until the end of Trump's 2nd term?
97% chance
Who will be the next pope after Leo XIV?
Will the next pope be based?
10% chance
Will Pope Leo XIV cease to be pope before the end of 2025?
1% chance
Will the next pope visit the United States by the end of 2025?
37% chance
Will the next pope be gay?
1% chance
Will the next pope visit the United States by the end of 2026?
46% chance
Will Pope Leo XIV cease to be pope before 2030?
17% chance