MANIFOLD
If at least one AI system causes more than 100 deaths in the next 12 months, who would be behind it?
8
Ṁ1kṀ385
2027
48%
State actor
20%
Non-state actor
31%
Accident/other
  • Excluding use in the Russia/Ukraine war, because AI systems are probably already killing more than 100 people in this context

  • If more than one attack, refers to the first one.

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Does it count if bad advice from a chatbot kills one person on 100 separate occasions?

I don't know, what would your recommendation be?

bought Ṁ10 YES

why exclusion on russia/ukraine war specifically?

@No_uh Because AI systems are already killing more than 100 people through autonomous drone guidance until a kill

@NuñoSempere this type of killing enacted by another in another broken out war would qualify as 'state actor' though, correct? the only caveat here is that this is already going on in russia/ukraine, correct?

@No_uh Yes. You seem to have something in mind, so would be great if you spelled it out after you made your bet

@NuñoSempere very kind of you but absolutely no ideas in my pea brain! i'm just musing!

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