How many incumbent U.S. Representatives will lose renomination in the 2026 election cycle?
5
Ṁ250Ṁ5012027
18 Representatives
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
88%
0 - 19
8%
20 - 39
0.8%
40 - 59
0.7%
60 - 79
0.6%
80 - 99
0.6%
100 - 149
0.7%
150 - 199
0.6%
200 - 299
0.6%
300 - 400
Update 2026-03-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Only Representatives who are actively seeking renomination will count toward the total. Representatives who retire, resign, or choose not to run for re-election will not be counted as losses.
Update 2026-03-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Renomination specifically refers to losing in the primary election, not the general election.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
10% chance
Will any incumbent U.S. Senator lose renomination in the 2026 US senate primaries?
75% chance
Will these U.S. Representatives retire in the 2026 election cycle?
How many House Democrats will lose a primary challenge in 2026?
How many Democratic Representatives will CA elect in 2026?
How many U.S. Senators will resign and leave office in 2026?
How many House seats will the GOP lose in 2026?
Will any member of the squad who lost their 2024 election get elected to the House of Representatives by 2026?
30% chance
How many Republican Representatives will Texas elect in 2026?
How many Republican Members of the 119th U.S. Congress (House and Senate) will resign in 2026?
6.2