Will Tesla have more autonomous vehicles providing ridehailing than Waymo on Jan 2nd 2027 | Manifold

Will Tesla have more autonomous vehicles providing ridehailing than Waymo on Jan 2nd 2027

70

Ṁ1kṀ13k

2027

41%

chance

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Credible sources. Cars in the US. On their ride hailing app.

Ridehails should be open to public.

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Self-Driving Vehicles

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Elon says Waymo's fleet of 2500 vehicles is "rookie numbers":

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1989054786973626664?s=20

Excellent question, this is why I love prediction markets

Directly predict Waymo vehicles here:

imo invitation-only nonpublic rides shouldn’t count as a “ridehailing” service. I can book a Waymo but I can’t book a Tesla.

Suggest changing “on their ride hailing app” to “on their ride hailing app bookable by almost anyone in public”

(I disagree)

@NathanpmYoung typo: "raidhailing" should be "ridehailing"

waymo, will refund if anyone upset

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Will we conclude Tesla launched level 4 robotaxis in summer 2025?

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Will Tesla have a fleet of at least N robotaxis actively operating by the end of 2026?

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Will Telsa have full unsupervised self-driving capabilities deployed in four cities by EOY

Will Waymo and Uber die due to Tesla Robotaxi Service by 2028

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Related questions

Will we conclude Tesla launched level 4 robotaxis in summer 2025?

When will a Tesla Robovan offer its first public, autonomous ride?

Will Tesla have a fleet of at least N robotaxis actively operating by the end of 2026?

How many Waymo robotaxis deployed at the end of 2026?

Will Tesla increase deliveries in 2026?

How many Waymo robotaxis at the end of 2027?

Will Telsa have full unsupervised self-driving capabilities deployed in four cities by EOY

Will Waymo and Uber die due to Tesla Robotaxi Service by 2028

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Will Tesla, by 2030, be the only OEM to sell more than 1 Million Vehicles per Year?

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