MANIFOLD
Resolves to % of seats for each party in the next UK election
8
Ṁ580Ṁ544
Mar 31
0.3%Other
25%
Conservative and Unionist Party
48%
Labour (and Co-Operative Party)
7%
Liberal Democrats
3%
Scottish National Party
14%
Reform UK
1.6%
Green Party
0.0%
Plaid Cymru
0.1%
Sinn Féin
0.1%
DUP

Please! get me to close this before the election. I will really try

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opened a Ṁ10 YES at 1.0% order

This market got the vote shares of Lab and Con almost exactly right, but missed LibDem surge and SNP collapse

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