What party wins the most seats at the next UK general election?
22
Ṁ150Ṁ8122029
31%
Labour
34%
Reform
8%
Conservatives
3%
Liberal Democrats
20%
Greens
5%
Resolves to the party that wins the most seats at the election following the 2024 general election.
Resolves using major media reporting, and the Wikipedia table below(example from last election).
If 2 parties get the same amount, resolves 50-50.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
I think this market is currently underestimating Reform, who are currently predicted to have 260 seats (Labour are closest behind in polling with 151 seats predicted).
People are also trading
Related questions
Which party will win the most council seats in the May 2026 UK local elections?
Which two parties will get the most seats in Parliament following the next UK general election after 2025?
How many parties will win more than 30 seats in the next UK General Election?
What will be the four largest parties at the next UK general election in order (by number of seats)?
Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from?
In the next UK General Election [Likely 2029] which parties will gain seats?
How many seats will the UK Conservative Party win at the next general election?
How many seats will "Your Party" win at the next UK general election?
What will be the distribution of seats after the next UK General Election?
How many seats will the UK Labour Party win at the next general election?