Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
What party wins the most seats at the next UK general election?
25
Ṁ150Ṁ1.2k
2029
26%
Labour
44%
Reform
14%
Conservatives
2%
Liberal Democrats
12%
Greens
2%
Other

Resolves to the party that wins the most seats at the election following the 2024 general election.

Resolves using major media reporting, and the Wikipedia table below(example from last election).

If 2 parties get the same amount, resolves 50-50.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

I think this market is currently underestimating Reform, who are currently predicted to have 260 seats (Labour are closest behind in polling with 151 seats predicted).

https://www.electionpolling.co.uk/polls/general-election

2029 General Election Polls - Election Polling
Opinion polling for the next UK general election in 2029. Analysis of which party will win Election 2029.

People are also trading

In the next UK General Election [Likely 2029] which parties will gain seats?
Which two parties will get the most seats in Parliament following the next UK general election after 2025?
If this party has the most or second most seats after the next UK general election, will they have the most?
How many seats will the UK Conservative Party win at the next general election?
What will be the distribution of seats after the next UK General Election?
What will be the four largest parties at the next UK general election in order (by number of seats)?
How many seats will the UK Labour Party win at the next general election?
Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from?
How many seats will "Your Party" win at the next UK general election?
How many parties will win more than 30 seats in the next UK General Election?