If no other big events happen and there is a big inter-community listening exercise, will EA split into 2 parties before 2025? | Manifold

If no other big events happen and there is a big inter-community listening exercise, will EA split into 2 parties before 2025?

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Related questions

Will either major US political party split by 2029?

The EA community will have a major split/conflict between progressive and rationalist EAs before 2030.

Will any other large AI organization have a big public leadership conflict before 2028?

Will EA community deploy and actively use a DAO by 2027?

Will any states split themselves into smaller pieces by 2028?

Will members of the EA community create an EA-focused university by 2030?

Will America remain a two-party system until 2050?

At any point before February 1, 2045, will there be a major third party in US politics? [read desc]

Will there be another EA reputational crisis before 2028?

Will the Democratic and Republican parties still be the two main parties by 2032?

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