
Will EA community deploy and actively use a DAO by 2027?
52
1.2kṀ30892026
24%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve yes, if a DAO explicitly linked to effective altruism, and 10+ users who are registered on the EA forum who have 200+ karma will have interacted with it in any way
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will EA split into 2 parties before 2025?
8% chance
Will members of the EA community create an EA-focused university by 2030?
16% chance
Will EA renounce utilitarianism as a guiding principle by the end of 2030?
16% chance
Will the EA Forum or LessWrong start using EigenKarma by 2025 (public experiments included)?
5% chance
Will there be another EA billionaire by the end of 2025?
85% chance
Will there be an "EA university" or similar institution by 31 December 2027?
15% chance
A DAO has a market cap equivalent to average Fortune 500 company by 2030.
36% chance
Will any individual reach a total of $1 billion donated to EA aligned charities by the end of 2026?
90% chance
Will the Musk Foundation fund a major EA project by 2031?
49% chance
The EA community will have a major split/conflict between progressive and rationalist EAs before 2030.
50% chance