What's the furthest milestone we'll see Starship achieve in 2024? (Everyday Astronaut 2024 Predictions)
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Plus
14
Ṁ6206
resolved Dec 30
100%98%
Reentry of both stages
0.0%
No further progress
1.8%
Orbital Payload deploy
0.6%
Reuse of a booster

This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.

If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's followup video, if there is one, as a source for resolution.

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  • Update 2024-30-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Next starship flight scheduled in January

    • Resolving to reentry of both stages

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Next starship flight scheduled in January, resolving to reentry of both stages.

Reentry of both stages should resolve as YES.

@TrickyDuck this is dependent multiple choice; it's about the furthest milestone to be achieved this year. It's still theoretically possible for an orbital payload deploy or booster reuse to happen this year, though unlikely.

@Multicore Oops! Thx for clarifying!

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