MANIFOLD
Tariffs on China by EOY?
15
Ṁ250Ṁ981
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
~25.0 Percent
Resolved
YES
Above 0%
Resolved
YES
Above 10%
Resolved
YES
Above 20%
Resolved
NO
Above 30%
Resolved
NO
Above 40%
Resolved
NO
Above 50%
Resolved
NO
Above 60%
Resolved
NO
Above 70%
Resolved
NO
Above 80%
Resolved
NO
Above 90%

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve based on the United States' tariff rates on Chinese imports as of December 31, 2025. The specific tariff rates will be determined by official announcements from the U.S. government, such as those from the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR) or the White House. If multiple tariff rates apply to different categories of goods, the market will consider the average tariff rate across all categories. Reliable sources for verification include:

Market context
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