Will the tariffs be successful in bringing back manufacturing to the US ? (2026)
6
225Ṁ5602027
2 %
expected1D
1W
1M
ALL
19%
Below - 2%
26%
- 2% to 0%
24%
0% to 3%
14%
3% to 6%
8%
6% to 9%
1.8%
9% to 12%
4%
12% to 15%
3%
Above 15%
Will the tariffs be successful in bringing back manufacturing to the US ?
Market resolves to the total change in manufacturing output GDP (durable goods manufacturing) in 2026 as measured by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (here's the 2024 report)
in 2023 the this would have resolved to 9.1%
in 2024 this would have resolved to 4.2%
Upper ranges are exclusive (for example the 0% to 3% range stops at 2.99999%)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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