Will an apocalypse cult attack a civilian or military target in Taiwan before 2031?
7
Ṁ100Ṁ6332031
32%
chance
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Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that an apocalypse cult has attacked a civilian or military target in Taiwan before January 1st 2031.
This does not include mass suicide events.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@asmith I think so, apocalypse cults generally have some sort of saviour vibe anyway. The feature that makes them "apocalypse cults" is that they believe the apocalypse is a key imminent threat.
@asmith my guess would be possibly something related to the cults China is currently interfering with. The same cults are way more prevalent in Taiwan. China has the ability to coerce members into becoming their operatives, while giving themselves a lot of plausible deniability.
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