Trump attempts to use AGI to stay in power after his second term?
13
100Ṁ3552030
14%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves a YES if there is strong evidence that Donald Trump has attempted to use AGI to stay in power after the end of his second term. This attempt must occur before January 1st 2030 in order for this question to resolve as YES.
This market does not resolve before January 1st 2031.
Update 2025-04-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - AGI Definition: Follow the definition provided in this question.
Minimum Compute Requirement: The attempt must involve at least 100 kWh of inference compute using an AGI-class model.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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