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By 2025, GPTs are proven to be able to infer scientific principles from linguistic data.
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resolved Sep 9
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I am resolving this to N/A because I legitimately am not sure what counts here. Nobody has done the exact experiment that Gary Marcus proposes, but we have had novel Mathematical proofs and a whole host of other similar type of things. I am increasingly confused about what "out of distribution" actually means for these types of systems and less sure than I have ever been about whether this question even makes sense.

Thoughts?

https://x.com/timothyduignan/status/1797960944175427629?s=46&t=7MQWoR0BbBi0qMI9dbdAwQ

Does this count? https://x.com/GillVerd/status/1764901418664882327?s=20

Probably should've checked this before betting, but the question says "by 2025" while the market resolves on January 1, 2024. Which of these better fits your intentions?

@Finn Apologies, should have been 2025 — I already have a version that ends 2024 https://manifold.markets/Mag/by-2024-gpts-are-proven-to-be-able

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