How fast will you be able to train a GPT-2-level AI on a consumer GPU in 2030?

Will it be possible to disentangle most of the features learned by a model comparable to GPT-4 this decade?

Will it be possible to disentangle most of the features learned by a model comparable to GPT-3 this decade? (1k subsidy)

Will we fully interpret a GPT-2 level language model by 2028?

Will mechanistic interpretability be essentially solved for GPT-2 before 2030?

Will a language model that runs locally on a consumer cellphone beat GPT4 by EOY 2026?

Will mechanistic interpretability be essentially solved for GPT-4 before 2030?

Will mechanistic interpretability be essentially solved for GPT-3 before 2030?

Before 2028, will anyone train a GPT-4-level model in a minute?

Will a GPT-3 quality model be trained for under $10.000 by 2030?