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Will Jean-Marie Le Pen reach 100 years old?
7
Ṁ100Ṁ968
resolved Jan 18
Resolved
NO

Jean-Marie Le Pen is best known for being the leader of far-right French party "National Front". His daughter Marine Le Pen is now the leader, and kicked him out of the party for his controversial statements.

As of posting he is 95 years old. He will be 100 years old on June 28th 2028.

Market context
France
french politics
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@MaePole this can resolve NO

@RatUziCat Oh thankyou! I have no idea how this managed to fly by me.

Death announcement: https://www.francetvinfo.fr/politique/jean-marie-le-pen/jean-marie-le-pen-fondateur-du-front-national-est-mort-a-96-ans-annonce-sa-famille-a-l-afp_2809549.html

https://www.ined.fr/en/everything_about_population/data/france/deaths-causes-mortality/mortality-tables/ suggests a probability of 1222/7890 = 15%.

Life table
Table de mortalité 2011-2013. Tables de mortalité depuis 1977.

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