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MANIFOLD
In which US states will hurricanes make landfall this Atlantic season?
13
Ṁ650Ṁ2.9k
Nov 30
89%
No US state landfall
12%
Texas
10%
Louisiana
7%
South Carolina
6%
Mississippi
6%
North Carolina
6%
Florida
6%
Alabama
5%
Georgia
2%
Virginia
2%
Delaware
2%
Connecticut
2%
New York
2%
New Jersey
2%
Rhode Island
2%
Massachusetts
1.6%
Maine
1.6%
New Hampshire

Only Atlantic/Gulf. Only storms with hurricane force winds at time of landfall according to NHC advisories. Only during official season (June 1 - November 30).

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2026 Hurricane Season
Hurricanes
Extreme Weather
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Not much liquidity at Kalshi and no market here but Polo is about to go monster big, and fast

@ScottSupak /MachiNi/will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-a-QzIzSZSuS0

bought Ṁ100 NO

Could add the west coast to this, especially Hawaii

@ScottSupak no, that would contradict both title and description

@MachiNi sorry, I meant as another market, just generally speaking

@ScottSupak oh yeah. I haven’t been tracking the pacific season too closely. Hawaï already got a near miss.

@MachiNi Might get another one too! Plenty of warm water out there, lol.

Polo's about to go off, probably a C5. Heads up, Baja.

reposted

The season is about to start

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