Background The Alternative for Germany (AfD) is a far-right political party that has faced scrutiny over illegal donation scandals in the past. Elon Musk has recently expressed public support for the AfD through social media posts and an op-ed, though he has not indicated plans for financial support.

Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if:

• Elon Musk (or any companies he owns) makes a verifiable donation exceeding €100,000 to the AfD party before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM CET

• The donation is publicly disclosed through official channels, credible media reports, or Musk's own public statements

The market will resolve NO if:

• No such donation is made by the deadline

• A donation is made but is less than €100,000

• A donation is made through intermediaries or shell companies without clear public attribution to Musk

Considerations

• German political party donation laws require public disclosure of donations exceeding €50,000

• The AfD is currently under investigation for previous donation irregularities

• Any large donations to German political parties face significant legal scrutiny and public attention

• Musk's verbal support for the AfD does not necessarily indicate intent to provide financial support