MANIFOLD
Democratic Nominee for 2028 Presidential Election
13
Ṁ225Ṁ3.1k
2028
26%
Gavin Newsom
9%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
7%
Josh Shapiro
6%
Pete Buttigieg
5%
Mark Kelly
4%
Jacob Frey
4%
Jon Ossoff
3%
Wes Moore
3%
Cory Booker
3%
Andy Beshear
3%
Gretchen Whitmer
2%
Kamala Harris
2%
Raphael Warnock
1.6%
Noam Chomsky
1.5%
Elizabeth Warren

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve based on who becomes the Democratic Party's nominee for the 2028 presidential election, as determined by:

  • Securing enough delegates to win the nomination at the Democratic National Convention, OR

  • Being declared the presumptive nominee after all other candidates have dropped out or suspended their campaigns

The market will resolve N/A if:

  • The Democratic Party dissolves or ceases to exist before 2028

  • The 2028 presidential election is cancelled or does not take place

  • No candidate formally accepts the Democratic nomination

Market context
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bought Ṁ5 NO

Only one option can resolve yes, right? Asking since it's an unlinked market

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