MANIFOLD
2028 Democratic nominee?
214
Ṁ23kṀ240k
2028
40%
Other
28%
Gavin Newsom
10%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
6%
Pete Buttigieg
6%
Josh Shapiro
2%
Gretchen Whitmer
2%
Kamala Harris
2%
Andy Beshear
1.2%
No 2028 Election
1.1%
Stephen A. Smith
1%
Cory Booker

Resolution Criteria: The question will resolve to "Yes" for the candidate officially nominated by the Democratic Party for the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election, as confirmed by the party's official announcement or at the Democratic National Convention. If no candidate is nominated, it will resolve to "No."

Market context
2028 Election
Politics
US Politics
2024 US Presidential Election
Democratic Party
Kamala Harris
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related:

Andrew Cuomo, as much as it saddens me to say it

27% chance of nominating the governor of the most "woke" state after Trump was elected in party on a backlash to that. I suppose the pendulum could swing again. But I expect the post-Trump backlash to be driven by economic concerns.

There was a pretty big arb available with the other market.

reposted

Added another 10K liquidity.

People are also trading

If nominated, which Democratic candidate will win the 2028 U.S. presidential election?
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Who will be the 2032 Democratic Nominee?
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?
Who will be the Democratic Party’s nominee for Vice-President in 2028?
How old will the Democratic Party's Presidential Nominee for the 2028 US Presidental Election be?
Who will be major candidates in the 2028 Democratic primaries?
Who will be running in the Democratic Primary for the 2028 presidential election?
What type of candidate will win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Conditional on their 2024 nominee, will the Democratic candidate for president win in 2028?
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