MANIFOLD
How many days will Tontine's longest no-death streak of 2024 last?
4
αΉ€340αΉ€3.1k
resolved Jan 10
100%6%
20
0.1%
10
0.1%
11
0.1%
12
0.1%
13
0.1%
14
0.0%
15
0.0%
16
0.1%
17
0.0%
18
10%
19
83%Other

https://tontine.cash/ is a MSCHF game. On 2021-12-27, 7141 players each paid $10 into a central pot and have been required to check in at least once a day by midnight EST/EDT or else be eliminated. The last remaining player will win the pot. As of 2024-2-23, 291 players remain.

The market resolves to the choice corresponding to the largest number of days of 2024 in a row on which no players die in Tontine. As of 2024-2-23, no player has died for the last 9 days, which last occurred during 2023-12-21~29.

This market will resolve at latest few days into the new year; in the event that there is a substantive streak starting in 2024 and lasting through to 2025, the additional days of 2025 will count as part of the streak for the purposes of the market.

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@Lorxus have enough days passed for this to resolve β€˜Other’ yet?

@snazzlePop No. The current no-death streak is 17 days. We'd need to wait until January 10th to hit "Other" (21 days).

bought αΉ€247 YES

longest streak 19
but could be beaten yet with a streak going into 2025

@Lorxus is 13 days still the longest no-death streak?

@Lorxus when was the last date someone died?

@snazzlePop Down to 205 on 26th Nov Down to 206 on 25th Nov Down to 207 on 11th Nov.

13 was as recent as that and why I pushed 13 up on 25th.

No-death streak ended: 2024-2-15~23

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