
Will "A bird's eye view of ARC's research" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ16Feb 1
12%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post A bird's eye view of ARC's research is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will "CFAR Takeaways: Andrew Critch" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
17% chance
Will "ARC progress update: Competing with sampling" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "Obstacles in ARC's agenda: Finding explanations" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Good Research Takes are Not Sufficient for Go..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "Scientific breakthroughs of the year" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "OpenAI #10: Reflections" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
29% chance
Will "The inaugural Redwood Research podcast" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "The News is Never Neglected" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "This is a review of the reviews" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
8% chance
Will "Arbital has been imported to LessWrong" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
7% chance