Will "CFAR Takeaways: Andrew Critch" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review? | Manifold

Will "CFAR Takeaways: Andrew Critch" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

7

Ṁ130Ṁ194

Feb 10

17%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.

This market will resolve to 100% if the post CFAR Takeaways: Andrew Critch is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.

Market context

LessWrong Annual Review

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

The list of skill feels pretty significant, and would be the reason why the post becomes impactful. However, if they are significant, I expect another post detailing precisely this list to be released and that this would be the post which would actually get in the top fifty.

People are also trading

Will "CFAR update, and New CFAR workshops" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will "Contra Collier on IABIED" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will "What’s going on at CFAR? (Updates and Fundraiser)" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will "The News is Never Neglected" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will "The Tale of the Top-Tier Intellect" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will "The Cats are On To Something" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will "Three Months In, Evaluating Three Rationalist..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will "Reviewing LessWrong: Screwtape's Basic Answer" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will "This is a review of the reviews" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will "One Year in DC" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Related questions

Will "CFAR update, and New CFAR workshops" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will "Contra Collier on IABIED" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will "What’s going on at CFAR? (Updates and Fundraiser)" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will "The News is Never Neglected" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will "The Tale of the Top-Tier Intellect" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will "The Cats are On To Something" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will "Three Months In, Evaluating Three Rationalist..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will "Reviewing LessWrong: Screwtape's Basic Answer" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will "This is a review of the reviews" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will "One Year in DC" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy