When will I be able to summon a robotaxi in Manhattan?
16
Ṁ1.4kṀ2.9k2028
April 5, 2027
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
1.1%
By the end of 2025
41%
By the end of 2026
40%
By the end of 2027
19%
Later than 12/31/2027
Resolution criteria:
This market will resolve to the date when I can summon a fully autonomous robotaxi in Manhattan without a human safety driver present. The robotaxi must be generally available for public use, allowing me to request a ride through a publicly accessible platform or service, and the service must be available across at least half of Manhattan’s land area.
Clarifications:
The options are not mutually exclusive, e.g. if a robotaxi becomes available on 3/1/2026, “By the end of 2026” will resolve YES and “By the end of 2027” will resolve YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@tobiasscheuer nah thank you, i bought that one up higher than i wanted already cuz of the low liquidity
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