MANIFOLD
In which year will Tesla release a robotaxi?
22
Ṁ100Ṁ1.2k
2031
1%
2024
1%
2025
42%
2026
15%
2027
13%
2028
10%
2029
18%
Later

The release must have large coverage; I should be able to call the robotaxi anywhere I can call an Uber. A fully self-driving car which is not marketed as a taxi service will not count.

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If a software update is pushed to existing Teslas allowing owners to "rent out" their Teslas as self-driving robotaxis, but no new vehicle is released, will that be sufficient to resolve to yes?

Yes, so long as the coverage is as general as Uber/Lyft.

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