Who will win a Nobel Prize before they die?
11
225Ṁ5792100
50%
Daniel Sheehan
41%
Daniel Hillis
28%
Jamie Joyce
26%
Balaji Srinivasan
18%
Eliezer Yudkowsky
10%
Robin Hanson
8%
Elon Musk
7%
4%
Robert Kennedy Jr.
Will resolve 'yes' when individuals win Nobel Prize.
Will resolve 'no' when they die.
Posthumously winning does not count for this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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