Will GiveWell win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2040?
30
1kṀ17972040
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
🕊️Which person or organization will win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
🕊️Which person or organization will win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
2% chance
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
5% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Nobel peace prize before 2100?
6% chance
Will Donald Trump win a Nobel Prize before 2030?
9% chance
Will a nonhuman win a Nobel Prize by 2100?
46% chance
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize?
6% chance
Will Nobel Prizes be awarded in 2060?
70% chance
Will Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize by the end of 2028?
8% chance