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MANIFOLD
Who will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist?
59
Ṁ3.9kṀ17k
Dec 1
91%
Zohran Mamdani
84%
Pope Leo XIV
65%
Donald Trump
59%
Elon Musk
51%
Dario Amodei
42%
Bad Bunny
40%
Sam Altman
34%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
26%
Marco Rubio
23%
JD Vance
22%
Alysa Liu
22%
Victor Glover
21%
Jeremy Hansen
21%
Benjamin Netanyahu
21%
Mark Carney
21%
Reid Wiseman
20%
Péter Magyar
19%
Christina Koch
18%
Jerome Powell
17%
Mojtaba Khamenei

Resolves according to the shortlist released by TIME. If no shortlist is released, everything resolves no.

Must be explicitly named as the headline. Eg. If ‘The Iranian People’ was on the shortlist, Iranians like Reza Pahlavi wouldn’t count. Even if they named him in the blurb about Iranian people.

(Excludes Artemis|| , individual astronauts would resolve yes if Artemis || is named)

However if it was ‘Reza Pahlavi and the Iranian people’ Reza would resolve yes.

Suggest answers below.

  • Update 2026-04-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the Artemis II crew is listed on the shortlist as a group (e.g. 'Artemis 2'), all individual crew members resolve YES. Individual crew members have been added as separate answer options.

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opened a Ṁ3,000 YES at 22% order

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bought Ṁ10 NO

If Ukraine war ends: Zelensky.

Artemis II crew

bought Ṁ100 NO

@Marnix added them as individual names

However if they are listed on the shortlist as ‘Artemis 2’

They would all resolve yes

Kylian Mbappe

Lamine Yamal

bought Ṁ5 NO

Dario

bought Ṁ10 NO

Any suggestions for answers to add?

bought Ṁ1 YES

@Jack1 Oman’s sultan perhaps?

bought Ṁ100 NO
bought Ṁ20 NO

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