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MANIFOLD
Who will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist?
63
Ṁ3.9kṀ18k
Dec 1
85%
Zohran Mamdani
80%
Pope Leo XIV
72%
Donald Trump
52%
Mark Carney
45%
Elon Musk
37%
Dario Amodei
32%
Marco Rubio
31%
Bad Bunny
30%
JD Vance
29%
James Talarico
28%
Sam Altman
27%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
22%
Alysa Liu
21%
Benjamin Netanyahu
19%
Péter Magyar
19%
Xi Jinping
17%
Mojtaba Khamenei
17%
Victor Glover
17%
Christina Koch
17%
Jeremy Hansen

Resolves according to the shortlist released by TIME. If no shortlist is released, everything resolves no.

Must be explicitly named as the headline. Eg. If ‘The Iranian People’ was on the shortlist, Iranians like Reza Pahlavi wouldn’t count. Even if they named him in the blurb about Iranian people.

(Excludes Artemis|| , individual astronauts would resolve yes if Artemis || is named)

However if it was ‘Reza Pahlavi and the Iranian people’ Reza would resolve yes.

Suggest answers below.

  • Update 2026-04-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the Artemis II crew is listed on the shortlist as a group (e.g. 'Artemis 2'), all individual crew members resolve YES. Individual crew members have been added as separate answer options.

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opened a Ṁ3,000 YES at 22% order

@Jack1 anyone interested in some BIG ACTION on Alysa Liu?
5k on YES at 22%, DM if you want MORE VOLUME. BIG ALYSA LIU FAN. I'm DELUSIONAL. BET AGAINST ME.

bought Ṁ10 NO

If Ukraine war ends: Zelensky.

Artemis II crew

bought Ṁ100 NO

@Marnix added them as individual names

However if they are listed on the shortlist as ‘Artemis 2’

They would all resolve yes

Kylian Mbappe

Lamine Yamal

bought Ṁ5 NO

Dario

bought Ṁ10 NO

Any suggestions for answers to add?

bought Ṁ1 YES

@Jack1 Oman’s sultan perhaps?

bought Ṁ100 NO
bought Ṁ20 NO

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