MANIFOLD
Will BlueSky have at least 3 million active users in the last 7 days by the end of 2025?
11
Ṁ100Ṁ676
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
YES

BlueSky is a microblogging app in the vein of Twitter. It is an open network based on the atproto protocol, which means we can look at its user activity with a high degree of fidelity and precision.

This market resolves YES if according to

https://bluefacts.app/bluesky-user-growth?t=3m

The "Unique users active in the last 7 days" statistic is at least 3 million users on December 31st 2025. At the time of writing on September 29th 2025 it is currently at 3.24 million users. If it is below 3 million users at the end of the year the market resolves NO.

If the blue facts website is no longer operating I will make a best attempt to find an alternative source for the information. If I cannot find a source the market resolves N/A.

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In a surprise twist BlueSky got a bunch of new users due to Elon being stupid with Grok, which boosted the total active users in the last seven days above the three million mark.

@JohnDavidPressman Checked again just now to make sure it's not a fluke and that is definitely above three million.

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