
Will Bluesky social have more monthly active users than Twitter by March 1st, 2028?
45
1kṀ54492028
14%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Monthly active users (MAUs) are defined as unique users who accessed either Bluesky or Twitter at least once during a given month.
The source of data for MAUs will be the official reports or announcements from Bluesky and Twitter, or a reputable third-party analytics service if none are available.
The question will resolve as invalid if either Bluesky or Twitter cease to exist, merge, or change their name by March 1st, 2028.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Bluesky active users in December 2026
4.2m
If Manifold integrates Bluesky, how many active users will we have in 3 months?
20,966
How many users will Bluesky have at the end of 2026?
61m
How many users will Bluesky have at the end of 2025?
Will Bluesky have 50 million users by September 2025? (~triple what it is mid-November)
28% chance
Will Bluesky reach 50 million users by the end of this year?
41% chance
Will BlueSky overtake X in active users before June 1st 2025
2% chance
Bluesky's daily active users exceed 25% of X's daily active users by June 2025
6% chance
Who will be the most followed user on Bluesky / Bsky at the end of 2025?
Will Bluesky have 36 million or more users at the end of 2025?
95% chance
Sort by:
Betting NO. Jack Dorsey (founder of Twitter, co-founder of Bluesky) quit Bluesky and endorsed X.
People are also trading
Related questions
Bluesky active users in December 2026
4.2m
If Manifold integrates Bluesky, how many active users will we have in 3 months?
20,966
How many users will Bluesky have at the end of 2026?
61m
How many users will Bluesky have at the end of 2025?
Will Bluesky have 50 million users by September 2025? (~triple what it is mid-November)
28% chance
Will Bluesky reach 50 million users by the end of this year?
41% chance
Will BlueSky overtake X in active users before June 1st 2025
2% chance
Bluesky's daily active users exceed 25% of X's daily active users by June 2025
6% chance
Who will be the most followed user on Bluesky / Bsky at the end of 2025?
Will Bluesky have 36 million or more users at the end of 2025?
95% chance