Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize? | Manifold

Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize?

56

1kṀ41k

2029

3%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Elon Musk has been nominated for the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize for his efforts in promoting free speech. The nomination was proposed by Branko Grims, a Slovenian Member of the European Parliament, highlighting Musk's global advocacy.

Update 2025-01-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria:
- The market will resolve no later than the end of Trump’s 2nd term.

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

If Eliezer Yudkowsky wins the Nobel Peace Prize, what will it be for?

Will Donald Trump win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

Does Trump receive Ig Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Will a nonhuman win a Nobel Prize by 2100?

Sort by:

sold Ṁ4,801 NO

add "by 2028 to the title"

bought Ṁ4,800 NO

< 0.1% But the resolution date... oops.

Sorry, I misread the market as being this year when I sweepified it. Will just N/A the sweepstakes version (timeline kinda long for sweepstakes).

opened a Ṁ2,000 NO at 5% order

Is this seriously open until he dies or wins a nobel prize?

@HillaryClinton This market is set to resolve no later than the end of Trump’s 2nd term.

People are also trading

If Eliezer Yudkowsky wins the Nobel Peace Prize, what will it be for?

Will Donald Trump win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

Does Trump receive Ig Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Will a nonhuman win a Nobel Prize by 2100?

Related questions

If Eliezer Yudkowsky wins the Nobel Peace Prize, what will it be for?

Will Donald Trump win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

Does Trump receive Ig Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Will a nonhuman win a Nobel Prize by 2100?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy