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MANIFOLD
Will AI models solve at least 2 FrontierMath Open Problems before 2027?
29
Ṁ400Ṁ1.7k
Dec 31
83%
chance

AI models already solved one, with Epoch reporting that multiple models including Opus 4.6 and Gemini 3.1 were able to replicate the result. https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems/ramsey-hypergraphs

Question is, was this a fluke, or will models be able to solve another one by the end of the year?

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Interesting how much higher this is than my previous market for solving 1 problem was before the public announcement of the potential solution

https://manifold.markets/bh/how-many-frontiermath-open-problems?r=Ymg

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