How many more US government shutdowns will there be in Trumps second term?
14
แน1kแน3k2029
2.56 shutdowns
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
46%
>=2
29%
>=3
15%
>=4
10%
>=5
6%
>=6
Since market creation.
Update 2025-11-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The first shutdown (occurring around market creation) is not counted in the total. For the market to resolve to โฅ1, there would need to be a second shutdown during Trump's second term.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
How many days will the US government be shut down in 2026
22
Will there be another US government shutdown in 2026?
73% chance
If Donald Trump is re-elected, how many times will he be impeached during his second term?
How many interventions will Trump start in his second term?
18.6
US government shutdown by October 1st 2026?
51% chance
Will there be a US federal shutdown in November 2026?
36% chance
How many executive orders will Trump issue over the course of his second term?