Will China develop domestic GPU with comparable performance to NVIDIA H100 by 2026?
Basic
13
Ṁ6372025
86%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
In recent years, US has implemented sanctions regime against China that tries to prevent access to the most cutting edge GPUs required for AI training runs. China is trying to develop its own domestic alternatives. Will they succeed?
Resolves YES if there is official, verifiable announcement from any Chinese company that they developed GPU of similar capability like H100 by 31.12.2025.
https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/nvidias-ai-chips-sales-in-china-hampered-by-us-sanctions-but-gaming-gpu-shipments-increase
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
By 2030, will China have reached GPU parity with the US?
65% chance
What will the GPU / hr price of an H100 for an on demand contract be in 2025?
Will Nvidia CEO visit to China in 2024?
48% chance
Conditional on no Doom by 2030, will China have reached GPU parity with the US?
26% chance
Will there be a supply shortage for Nvidia data center GPUs by the end of 2024?
69% chance
Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?
22% chance
Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2025?
15% chance
If China invades Taiwan in 2023-2030, what will FLOP/s per dollar of top-ML GPUs be 5 years later?
Will Nvidia still retain over 50% market share of PC gamer GPU usage by 2030
59% chance
If China invades Taiwan in 2023-2030, what will FLOP/s per dollar of top-ML GPUs be 10 years later?