MANIFOLD
Will Gary Marcus' legs be turned into paperclips (or similarly affected by AI) before he predicts AGI within 2.5 years?
12
Ṁ150Ṁ335
2028
12%
chance

If Gary Marcus uploads himself this counts.
If Gary fails to publicly predict AGI before AGI is created by this question's standards, and Gary is subsequently paperclipped or uploaded (etc.) then this resolves Yes.

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