Will Te Pati Maori or Opportunity Party poll at 5.00% or more for the 2026 NZ election?
3
Ṁ250Ṁ553Nov 25
1H
6H
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14%
Te Pati Maori polls at 5.00% or more in 3 or more polls?
6%
Opportunity Party polls at 5.00% or more in 3 or more polls?
resolves yes if TPM or Opportunity polls at 5.00% or more in 3 different polls (at least 2 different polling companies) in the 2026 Nov 7 NZ election.
Polls accepted:
RNZ-Reid Research
taxpayer union-curia
roy morgan
the post/freshwater strategy
1news-verian
Talbot Mills
More polls may be accepted, if they are added to wikipedia and arent a result of vandalism.
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