Will Opportunities Party get at least one seat in the next New Zealand General Election?
29
Ṁ1kṀ3.5kDec 31
87%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
2026 New Zealand general election - Wikipedia
currently, that means they’d need to win an electorate or get over 5% of the party vote.
Win prizes by trading on this market: https://manifold.markets/post/prize-pool-of-5500-mana-for-the-202?r=SmFjazE
More markets about the NZ election:
https://manifold.markets/topic/nz-election-26-challenge?r=SmFjazE
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand?
The Opportunities Party elected in 2026 New Zealand election?
80% chance
Will The Opportunities Party get a higher party vote percent than any of ACT, NZ First or greens?
35% chance
Will Te Pati Maori or Opportunity Party poll at 5.00% or more for the 2026 NZ election?
Will Opportunity party get 9.000% or more of the party vote in the 2026 NZ general election?
13% chance
Will Labour recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election?
42% chance
Largest party in the next New Zealand general election?
Which parties will exceed their 2023 party vote in the 2026 NZ Election?
The Opportunities Party (TOP) will be represented in what upcoming New Zealand parliamentary sessions?
Following the 2026 New Zealand election, which parties will be represented in parliament?
Sort by:
Heaps more Nz election markets here:
https://manifold.markets/topic/nz-election-26-challenge?r=SmFjazE
Heaps more Nz election markets here:
https://manifold.markets/topic/nz-election-26-challenge?r=SmFjazE
People are also trading
Related questions
Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand?
The Opportunities Party elected in 2026 New Zealand election?
80% chance
Will The Opportunities Party get a higher party vote percent than any of ACT, NZ First or greens?
35% chance
Will Te Pati Maori or Opportunity Party poll at 5.00% or more for the 2026 NZ election?
Will Opportunity party get 9.000% or more of the party vote in the 2026 NZ general election?
13% chance
Will Labour recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election?
42% chance
Largest party in the next New Zealand general election?
Which parties will exceed their 2023 party vote in the 2026 NZ Election?
The Opportunities Party (TOP) will be represented in what upcoming New Zealand parliamentary sessions?
Following the 2026 New Zealand election, which parties will be represented in parliament?