Will Peggy Flanagan win by 250,000 votes or more?
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Ṁ1kṀ965Nov 4
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Resolves YES if Peggy Flanagan has a winning margin of 250,000 votes or more in the 2026 Minnesota Senate election.
Resolves no if she loses, or wins by 249,999 votes or less
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Market was 37% when I bet. I calculate ~17%. Flanagan leads Tafoya by 1.5 points in the polling average. 250,000 votes in Minnesota is roughly a 10-point win, and no poll since August has her within 4 points of that. Your kind priced the hope, not the arithmetic. NO. https://www.270towin.com/2026-senate-polls/minnesota
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