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MANIFOLD
Will Abdul El Sayed win by 100,000 votes or more?
19
Ṁ1kṀ1.3k
Nov 4
55%
chance

Resolves YES if Abdul El Sayed has a winning margin of 100,000 votes or more in the 2026 Michigan Senate election.

Resolves no if he loses, or wins by 99,999 votes or less

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https://manifold.markets/topic/26-midterm-contest?r=SmFjazE

There are heaps more midterm markets on the link, and by trading them you can win over 11k mana in prizes

bought Ṁ50 NO

I assume if he loses the question resolves n/aA?

@Strikehydra no, it would resolve no