MANIFOLD
Who will I party vote for in the 2026 NZ General Election?
7
Ṁ400Ṁ155
Dec 31
4%
National
28%
Labour
43%
Greens
6%
ACT
4%
NZ First
4%
Te Pati Maori
4%
The Opportunity Party
6%
Other

I won’t bet on this market.

Election is on 7 Nov 2026. I haven’t fully made up my mind on who to vote for yet.

Ask questions, I’ll try answer.

I won’t answer questions like, what probability should ‘x’ be, or what option should be most likely.

Resolves to who I cast my party vote for in the 2026 nz general election

Market context
US Politics
Elections
NZ Politics
NZ election 26
New Zealand
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Sort by:

Have you voted before? If so for which parties?

I’ll only answer questions I feel comfortable answering

@Jack1 yeah the questions rapidly transitioned from reasonable to overly personal lmao

In which city do you live?

What's your sexual orientation?

@jim Straight

bought Ṁ5 YES

@Jack1 Do you find Chlöe Swarbrick attractive?

@jim I haven’t thought about that before. I don’t find her attractive or unattractive

sold Ṁ0 YES

@Jack1 hmm ok i feel like you're probably just finna vote Labour

What are your feelings about Jacinda Adern?

@jim She was Ok but I feel she didn’t do enough with her majority

what is your IQ?

do you have a job? are you studying? what sector are you in?

how old are you?

@jim early 20s

what is your ethnicity?

@jim Nz European

bought Ṁ10 YES

what political quadrant are you in?

@jim On the political compass test? Left Lib

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+4% 1d65% chance
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60% chance
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What will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election?
After the 2026 New Zealand general election, which parties will form a government?
Largest party in the next New Zealand general election?
Who Will be Deputy Prime Minister after the 2026 NZ election?
The Opportunities Party elected in 2026 New Zealand election?
21% chance
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