Which Texas US House Districts will a Democrat win?

MANIFOLD

Ṁ1.2kṀ31k

Nov 3

Texas 1st District

13%

Texas 2nd District

11%

Texas 5th District

19%

Texas 9th district

12%

Texas 12th District

52%

Texas 15th District

15%

Texas 17th district

25%

Texas 23rd district

78%

Texas 28th district

71%

Texas 34th district

43%

Texas 35th district

26%

Texas 32nd District

Resolves according to if a Democrat or Democratic caucuser wins the districts general election in 2026. Resolves according to party identification/ who they caucus with.

Market context

US Politics

Elections

U.S. Congress

2026 US Congressional Elections

Texas

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opened a Ṁ5,000 YES at 25% order

@Yuna @Cactus you can set up your bots on this market if you’d like

@Jack1

Add 32 as well? That would complete the set from /NathanScott/how-many-of-the-redrawn-texas-distr.

bought Ṁ100 NO

@EvanDaniel added

reposted

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filled a Ṁ35 YES at 52% order

@Jack1 Done. I have no idea what news could have caused Tx-35 odds to flip (I suspect it might've just been low volume shenanigans) but I'll allow a small bet on it I guess.