Labour wins 20%+ of vote in next NZ general election?
3
Ṁ192Ṁ2.3kJan 1
98.6%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
What will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election?
Will Labour recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election?
42% chance
Will Chris Hipkins lead the NZ Labour Party to the next election (probably 2026)?
90% chance
Will Labour recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election?
42% chance
Labour get over 21% of the vote in the 2026 NZ Election?
98% chance
Will Labour and National combined recieve 70.00% or more of the party vote in the 2026 NZ election?
9% chance
Largest party in the next New Zealand general election?
If Labour wins the 2026 NZ general election, they are dependent on support from Te Pāti Māori to govern
64% chance
Which parties will exceed their 2023 party vote in the 2026 NZ Election?
Who will lead the NZ Labour Party at the next election?